Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.556519 0.614939 0.677938 0.751097 0.833931 0.925052 1.033207
2025-09-28 0.445187 0.522067 0.611129 0.722620 0.859411 1.022999 1.235288
2025-10-05 0.400030 0.488530 0.596240 0.738396 0.923188 1.158206 1.484473
2025-10-12 0.366444 0.462123 0.583252 0.750122 0.977633 1.282323 1.730500
2025-10-19 0.337998 0.437845 0.568507 0.755213 1.020472 1.392190 1.967953
2025-10-26 0.314400 0.416909 0.555007 0.758832 1.059313 1.498108 2.211009
2025-11-02 0.295806 0.400636 0.545636 0.766109 1.102480 1.613101 2.481398
2025-11-09 0.272710 0.375887 0.521774 0.749212 1.106464 1.667131 2.659131
2025-11-16 0.259309 0.363788 0.514837 0.756408 1.147415 1.782677 2.954701
2025-11-23 0.244032 0.347669 0.500447 0.750344 1.165769 1.862043 3.196536
2025-11-30 0.232965 0.336956 0.493223 0.754598 1.200862 1.972714 3.510866
2025-12-07 0.219487 0.321600 0.477597 0.743615 1.208511 2.035167 3.740767
2025-12-14 0.207570 0.308103 0.464248 0.735768 1.221655 2.110527 4.011792
2025-12-21 0.192480 0.288729 0.440249 0.707977 1.196541 2.111682 4.129373
2025-12-28 0.187362 0.284933 0.441265 0.723369 1.251671 2.272971 4.618799
2026-01-04 0.181868 0.280135 0.440198 0.734809 1.300249 2.426865 5.119378
2026-01-11 0.175617 0.273677 0.435828 0.739776 1.336568 2.559744 5.595046
2026-01-18 0.169579 0.267201 0.430957 0.743306 1.370180 2.690741 6.090973
2026-01-25 0.164545 0.262124 0.428154 0.750405 1.411574 2.843713 6.673832
2026-02-01 0.156172 0.250845 0.413674 0.733921 1.402140 2.880905 6.954174
2026-02-08 0.151908 0.246491 0.411344 0.740941 1.443300 3.040115 7.606832
2026-02-15 0.146042 0.239004 0.402853 0.735026 1.455651 3.132298 8.085838
2026-02-22 0.141950 0.234460 0.399499 0.739176 1.490654 3.284201 8.778703